Bets!
List last updated: 3 Oct 2022
Grand total: +$1116.96
Win-loss: 10-7
| Against | Bet Date | Proposition | I win if... | If I win I get... | They win if... | If they win they get... | Bet is off if... | Outcome? | My Winnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My dad | 14 Jan 2020 | Ken Jennings wins the GOAT Jepoardy Tournament on 14 Jan 2020 | Ken Jennings does not win | +$45 | Ken Jennings wins | -$45 | NA | Lost | -$45 |
| David Manheim | 16 Jan 2020 | Who's Vox Future Perfect predictions have the better brier score? | Peter's | +$10 | David's | -$10 | NA | Won | +$10 |
| PredictIt | 28 Oct 2020 - Present | Various | Various | Various | Various | Various | Various | Various | -$533.49 after all fees (as of 1 Jan 2022) |
| Polymarket | 28 Oct 2020 - Present | Various | Various | Various | Various | Various | Various | Various | +$1609.70 after all fees (as of 1 Jan 2022) |
| RK | 3 Nov 2020 | Democrats win the Alaska Senate? | Republicans win | +$20 | Democrats win | -$100 | A different party wins | Won | +$20 |
| Daniel Eth | 5 Nov 2020 | Democratic Senate by Feb 2023 | Yes | +$100 | No | -$2000 | Democratic Senate in 2021 | Won | +$100 |
| Avraham Eisenberg | 30 Nov 2020 | Iran gets a nuke by 2030 absent JCPOA? | Iran gets a nuke by EOY 2030 | +$100 | Iran doesn't get a nuke by EOY 2030 | -$233.40 | The US re-enters the JCOPA | Pending | Pending |
| @iabvek | 26 Dec 2020 | 2020 Georgia Special Election Runoff | Kelly Loeffler (R) wins | +$500 | Raphael Warnock (D) wins | -$555 | N/A | Lost | -$555 |
| @iabvek | 5 Jan 2021 | 2020 Georgia Special Election Runoff | Ds win 1 of the 2 Senate races | +$288 | Ds win 2/2 or 0/2 | -$1000 | N/A | Won | +$288 |
| @iabvek | 5 Jan 2021 | 2020 Georgia Special Election Runoff | Ds win Senate | +$887 | Rs win Senate | -$1000 | N/A | Lost | -$1000 |
| @iabvek | 6 Jan 2021 | Hawley and/or Cruz get expelled by end of February | Either or both are expelled | +$500 | Neither are expelled | -$10 | N/A | Lost | -$10 |
| @iabvek | 28 Jan 2021 | NYC Mayor 2021 | Yang does not win | +$168.75 | Yang does win | -$300 | N/A | Won | +$168.75 |
| @GaetenD | 11 Mar 2021 | US First dose vaccinations | under 100M by 1 Apr CDC update | +$110, +SSG belt | >= 100M | -$100 | N/A | Won | +$110 and SSG belt |
| @iabvek | 29 Apr 2021 | Pedro Castillo is alive and on the ballot | Yes | +$144 | No | -$1300 | N/A | Won | +$144 |
| @avi_eisen | 23 Jun 2021 | Joe Biden is the Dem nominee for 2024 | Yes | +$212 | No | -$1000 | No 2024 D nomination | Pending | Pending |
| @TruthBomber_ | 14 Sep 2021 | James Spears is Britney Spear's conservator on 2021 Oct 1 | No | +$100 | Yes | -The SSG Belt | NA | Won | +$100 |
| Erik Thulin | 5 Oct 2021 | Trump is 2024 POTUS | No | +$200 | Yes | -$400 | Trump is not the 2024 R Nominee | Pending | Pending |
| Ian Lazaran | 29 Oct 2021 | McAullife wins 2020 VA Gov | Yes | +$200 | No | -$200 | N/A | Lost | -$200 |
| Obamoracle | 30 Oct 2021 | McAullife wins 2020 VA Gov | Yes | +$100 | No | -$100, -belt | N/A | Lost | -$100 and lost SSG belt |
| Andrew N | 30 Oct 2021 | McAullife wins 2020 VA Gov | Yes | +$500 | No | -$500 | N/A | Lost | -$500 |
| Mom / Dad | 12 Feb 2022 | Superbowl LVI | Rams win | +$10 | Bengals win | -$17 | N/A | Won | +$10 |
| Taras | 30 Oct 2021 | Russia invades Ukraine | Yes | +$1500 | No | -$500 | N/A | Won | +$1500 |
| Daniel Eth | 15 Mar 2022 | 2024 POTUS | Biden doesn't run + Trump runs | +$500 | Biden runs + Trump doesn't run | -$500 | (Biden runs + Trump runs) or (Biden doesn't run + Trump doesn't run) | Pending | Pending |
| Edmund Nelson | 19 Sep 2022 | US Gun Confiscation by EOY 2027 | Doesn't happen | +$45.45 | Happens | -$500 | N/A | Pending | Pending |
| Simeon Campos | 3 Oct 2022 | M#5121 under 2030 by EOM 2023 Jul | No | +$50 | Yes | -$200 | Question resolves ambiguous | Pending | Pending |