• Rethink Priorities is the organization I founded and co-lead. We're a a think tank dedicated to figuring out the best ways to make the world a better place.
  • Feel free to email me if you'd like.
  • If you want to see my professional persona.
  • I blog in a bunch of different places. Here is one place to follow all of it.
  • Ever so often, I send out a newsletter of cool links. You could get it.
  • I tweet way too much. You could follow me.
  • I upload photos to instagram.
  • I do the open source things here.
  • I have a good track record of solving data science problems.
  • I have a good track record of forecasting real world events.
  • Bringing transparency and public collaboration to election forecasting.

Hi, I'm Peter Hurford. Along with my friend Marcus A. Davis, I am a co-founder and co-Executive Director of Rethink Priorities, a think tank dedicated to figuring out the best ways to make the world a better place. We do research, mainly on improving the welfare and lives of nonhuman animals. Rather than just doing what feels right, we use evidence and careful analysis to find the very best causes to work on.

I'm also a data scientist. I've used machine learning to help fight fraud, reduce insurance risk, improve healthcare outcomes, predict the results of sports games, forecast elections, and a lot more. I do forecasting at The Open Model Project, which brings transparency and public collaboration to election forecasting. Previously, I've worked at DataRobot, Avant, Clearcover, and others.

I am recognized as a Top 100 Forecaster on Metaculus and Forecastapp (both are international forecasting competitions). I also have a Triple Master Rank on Kaggle (an international data science competition) with top 1% performance in five different competitions. Lastly, I am an avid open source developer and I love building tools to solve problems and make things easier.

When not working, I blog across the internet, tweet, and put photos on instagram. I also send out a wonderful links newsletter!