• Rethink Priorities is the organization I founded and co-lead. We're a a think tank dedicated to figuring out the best ways to make the world a better place.
  • Feel free to email me if you'd like.
  • If you want to see my professional persona.
  • I blog in a bunch of different places. Here is one place to follow all of it.
  • Ever so often, I send out a newsletter of cool links. You could get it.
  • I tweet way too much. You could follow me.
  • I upload photos to instagram.
  • I do the open source things here.
  • I have a good track record of solving data science problems.
  • I have a good track record of forecasting real world events.
  • Bringing transparency and public collaboration to election forecasting.

Hi, I'm Peter Hurford. My main goal is to scalably employ a large number of well-qualified researchers to work on the world's most important problems. I am the co-Executive Director of Rethink Priorities - rather than just doing what feels right, we use evidence and careful analysis to find the very best causes to work on.

I'm also a data scientist. I've used machine learning to help fight fraud, reduce insurance risk, improve healthcare outcomes, predict the results of sports games, forecast elections, and a lot more. I do forecasting at The Open Model Project, which brings transparency and public collaboration to election forecasting. Previously, I've worked at DataRobot, Avant, Clearcover, and others.

I am recognized as a Top 100 Forecaster on Metaculus and Forecastapp (both are international forecasting competitions). I also have a Triple Master Rank on Kaggle (an international data science competition) with top 1% performance in five different competitions. Lastly, I am an avid open source developer and I love building tools to solve problems and make things easier.

When not working, I blog across the internet, tweet, and put photos on instagram. I also send out a wonderful links newsletter!