Peter Hurford

All my writing across the internet.

Peru Elections and New York Mayor [Podcast] (8 May 2021)
A Very Special TX Election & More [Podcast] (1 May 2021)
Gaetz and Confirmation Markets [Podcast] (19 Apr 2021)
POTUS Approval Rating vs. House Popular Vote [Twitter] (15 Apr 2021)
How Peter Hurford Forecasted the Ever Given Crisis and Profited on Polymarket [Podcast/Video] (8 Apr 2021)
COVID Cases + Vaccination Model, 17 Feb - 1 Apr, Retrospective [Twitter] (2 Apr 2021)
Why Texas's Reopening Didn't Spike Cases [Twitter] (26 Mar 2021)
COVID Situation Update, 26 Mar [Twitter] (26 Mar 2021)
OMP #7: All Noise, No Signal [Podcast] (16 Mar 2021)
@ScottAdamsSays calibration curve [Twitter] (11 Mar 2021)
538 Pollster Grades are not Particularly Predictive of Poll Quality [Twitter] (8 Mar 2021)
Six Reasons Why Opinion Polling is More Accurate Than Election Forecast Polling [Twitter] (3 Mar 2021)
OMP #6: Raising the Bar for Polling NYC and Vaccine Hesitancy [Podcast] (23 Feb 2021)
OMP #5: NYC Mayoral Candidates: Poked, Prodded, Weighed and Measured [Podcast] (29 Jan 2021)
OMP #4: Forecast Feud: Are Polls Useless or Just Bad? [Podcast] (22 Jan 2021)
OMP #3: Ranked Choice Voting and the NYC Mayoral Race [Podcast] (18 Jan 2021)
OMP #2: The Model Went Down to Georgia [Podcast] (11 Jan 2021)
OMP #1: Introducing the Open Model Project [Podcast] (4 Jan 2021)
Predictions and Bets for the Georgia Senate Runoffs (4 Jan 2021)
Predictions and Bets for the Electoral Objections (4 Jan 2021)
Modeling the Georgia Senate Runoff Elections (28 Dec 2020)
Georgia Senate Runoff Polling Report (28 Dec 2020)
How to Release a New Python Package (3 Nov 2020)
2020 CA Proposition Models (2 Nov 2020)
Super Simple House + Senate Model [2 Nov, Final] (2 Nov 2020)
Super Simple Trump-Biden Model [2 Nov, Final] (2 Nov 2020)
Will we know the Trump-Biden results on election night? I think 70% yes. [Twitter] (29 Oct 2020)
RP 2020 Election Poll: Biden at +9.8 support nationally in Rethink Priorities poll, Dems +5.3 for Congress (28 Oct 2020)
RP 2020 Election Poll: California Propositions Poll (28 Oct 2020)
List of Things I Do to Setup a New (Mac) Laptop (26 Oct 2020)
Super Simple House + Senate Model (19 Oct 2020)
Super Simple Trump-Biden Model (16 Oct 2020)
How to install latex and xelatex on Mac so that Jupyter "Download as PDF" will work (20 Aug 2020)
List of my Favorite Named Aphorisms, Dictums, Laws, Maxims, and Rules to Live By (23 Jun 2020)
Peter's COVID Consolidated Brief for 29 April (29 Apr 2020)
Peter's COVID Consolidated Brief for 2 April (2 Apr 2020)
US Non-Profit? Get Free* Money From the Gov on 3 Apr! (1 Apr)
Peter's COVID Consolidated Brief for 29 March (29 Mar 2020)
Coronavirus Research Ideas for EAs (27 Mar 2020)
Final Iowa Democratic Caucus Forecasts - Who Will Be Most Right? (3 Feb 2020)
Links When I Feel Like It #66 (3 Feb 2020)
Links When I Feel Like It #65 (25 Jan 2020)
Links When I Feel Like It #64 (19 Jan 2020)
U.S. Ballot Initiatives as a Pathway for EA Policy (EA Global Talk Transcript) (15 Jan 2020)
Peter’s Predictions 2020 (14 Jan 2020)
co-authored Intervention Profile: Ballot Initiatives (13 Jan 2020)
Links When I Feel Like It #63 (12 Jan 2020)
Links When I Feel Like It #62 (8 Jan 2020)
Links When I Feel Like It #61 (30 Dec 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #60 (23 Dec 2019)
Notes on "Ultralearning" by Scott Young (22 Dec 2019)
We're Rethink Priorities. AMA (13 Dec 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #59 (7 Dec 2019)
co-authored Rethink Priorities 2019 Impact and Strategy (2 Dec 2019)
Links When I Feel LIke It #58 (30 Nov 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #57 (16 Nov 2019)
Opinion: Estimating Invertebrate Sentience (6 Nov 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #56 (5 Nov 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #55 (1 Nov 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #54 (15 Oct 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #53 (13 Oct 2019)
“Red Alert” Sounds (26 Sep 2019)
Recent Research Shows Winning Opportunities For Fighting Climate Change (19 Jul 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #52 (6 Jul 2019)
EA Survey 2018 Series: Do EA Survey Takers Keep Their GWWC Pledge? (16 Jun 2019)
Is EA Growing? EA Growth Metrics for 2018 (1 Jun 2019)
EA Survey 2018 Series: How Long Do EAs Stay in EA? (30 May 2019)
Blog Collection for Worldview Diversity (25 May 2019)
Links When I Feel Like It #51 (22 Apr 2019)
List of Official Government Residences with Colors in their Name (29 Jan 2019)
co-authored Detecting Morally Significant Pain in Nonhumans: Some Philosophical Difficulties (21 Dec 2018)
co-authored Rethink Priorities Plans for 2019 (17 Dec 2018)
co-authored EA Survey Series 2018: How do people get involved in EA? (17 Nov 2018)
co-authored EA Survey 2018 Series: Distribution and Analysis Methodology (18 Oct 2018)
Links When I Feel Like It Is Back - #50 (13 Oct 2018)
co-authored EA Survey 2018 Series: Community Demographics & Characteristics (20 Sep 2018)
co-authored Announcing PriorityWiki: A Cause Prioritization Wiki (19 June 2018)
co-authored Animal Equality showed that advocating for diet change works. But is it cost-effective? (7 June 2018)
co-authored Lessons for estimating cost-effectiveness (of vaccines) more effectively (6 June 2018)
co-authored Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccines: Appendices and Endnotes (8 May 2018)
co-authored Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccines: Exploring Model Uncertainty and Takeaways (8 May 2018)
co-authored What is the cost-effectiveness of researching vaccines? (8 May 2018)
co-authored How Beneficial Have Vaccines Been? (5 May 2018)
Episodes of “Electric Dreams” Season 1, Ranked By Me (24 March 2018)
Kaggle Toxic Comment Competition Solution - 34th Solution, With Lots of FE and Poor Understanding of NNs (21 Mar 2018)
co-authored Announcing Rethink Priorities (2 Mar 2018)
co-authored How much does it cost to rollout a vaccine? (26 Feb 2018)
co-authored How much does it cost to research and develop a vaccine? (24 Feb 2018)
Kaggle Mercari Competition Solution - 18th Place with no Neural Nets - LGB and FM - 0.40604 (21 Feb 2018)
co-authored What is Animal Farming in Rural Zambia Like? A Site Visit (19 Feb 2018)
R for Humans (16 Feb 2018)
Four Organizations EAs Should Fully Fund for 2018 (12 Dec 2017)
co-authored EA Survey 2017 Series: How do People Get Into EA? (16 Nov 2017)
Look at Mint transaction data via R (2 Nov 2017)
co-authored EA Survey 2017 Series: Have EA Priorities Changed Over Time? (6 Oct 2017)
co-authored EA Survey 2017 Series: Qualitative Comments Summary (21 Sep 2017)
co-authored EA Survey 2017 Series: Demographics II (18 Sep 2017)
co-authored EA Survey 2017 Series: Donation Data (12 Sep 2017)
co-authored Is EA Growing? Some EA Growth Metrics for 2017 (6 Sep 2017)
co-authored EA Survey 2017 Series: Cause Area Preferences (1 Sep 2017)
co-authored EA Survey 2017 Series: Community Demographics & Beliefs (29 Aug 2017)
co-authored EA Survey 2017 Series: Distribution and Analysis Methodology (29 Aug 2017)
co-authored How Long Does it Take to Research and Develop a New Vaccine? (28 June 2017)
Can We Apply Start-Up Investing Principles to Non-Profits? (26 June 2017)
Is Voting By Mail a Good Idea? (12 June 2017)
The Best Deals in AWS Spot Instances (1 June 2017)
Blogging is More Fun When It's Group Blogging (22 May 2017)
Initial stab at a Data Science 101 Curriculum (4 May 2017)
Meat consumption by country, kg per capita (16 Apr 2017)
Notes on "Working Identity" (14 Apr 2017)
co-authored How do EA Orgs Account for Uncertainty in their Analysis? (5 Apr 2017)
Value of Criminal Justice Reform (28 Mar 2017)
Vowpal Platypus: Very Fast Multi-Core Machine Learning in Python (2 Mar 2017)
R Packages, Abridged (15 Feb 2017)
Advanced R, Abridged (15 Feb 2017)
Git 101, with Exercises (15 Feb 2017)
co-authored What if you’re working on the wrong cause? Preliminary thoughts on how long to spend exploring vs exploiting. (6 Feb 2017)
co-authored Essay contest: general considerations for evaluating small-scale giving opportunities ($300 for winning submission) (19 Jan 2017)
How Should I Spend My Time (7 Jan 2017)
Why I Took The Giving What We Can Pledge (4 Jan 2017)
Value of Cause Prioritization Efforts (2 Jan 2017)
Q4 2016 Day Job Review (26 Dec 2016)
The Value of Time Spent Fundraising: Four Examples (22 Dec 2016)
What is the Expected Value of Creating a GiveWell Top Charity? (17 Dec 2016)
How many hits does hits-based giving get? A concrete study idea to find out (and a $1500 offer for implementation) (9 Dec 2016)
How Much Do I Expect Donate in 2016-2019? (4 Dec 2016)
Thoughts on the Reducetarian Lab MTurk Study (2 Dec 2016)
Average Cost-Effectiveness of GiveWell (rough guess) (29 Nov 2016)
Using a Spreadsheet to Make Good Decisions: Five Examples (25 Nov 2016)
Trump Won? Now What? I Don't Know, But Here's What I Do Know (16 Nov 2016)
Some Nonpartisan Statistics on Making Partisan Phone Calls to help Elect Hillary Clinton (8 Nov 2016)
15min of messaging could make the difference. Reach out to your friends in NH and remind them to vote. (5 Nov 2016)
Save the World. Vote. Tell Others to Vote. Now. (4 Nov 2016)
Peter's 2016 Q2-Q3 Review (2 Oct 2016)
Students for High Impact Charity: Review and $10K Grant (27 Sep 2016)
A Method for Automatic Trustworthiness in Study Pre-Registration (25 Sep 2016)
co-authored Scaling Down Charity Science Outreach (12 Aug 2016)
Using Amazon's Mechanical Turk for Animal Advocacy: Opportunities and Challenges (2 Aug 2016)
co-authored The 2015 Survey of Effective Altruists: Results and Analysis (29 July 2016)
How to modularize your py.test fixtures (28 July 2016)
Five Ways to Handle Flow-Through Effects (27 July 2016)
The Value of Being Flexible (23 Jun 2016)
How Should We Prioritize Cause Prioritization? (13 Jun 2016)
A Case for Empirical Cause Prioritization (6 Jun 2016)
Global poverty could be more cost-effective than animal advocacy (even for non-speciesists) (31 May 2016)
More Thoughts (and Analysis) on the Mercy for Animals Online Ads Study (26 May 2016)
Links When I Feel Like it #49 (25 May 2016)
More Comics: The Characters Meet Doctor Who (24 May 2016)
Disappointment and Compromise Comics (23 May 2016)
Airline Comix (22 May 2016)
Some Comics I Drew Back in 2008 That I Just Found (21 May 2016)
What's the fastest way to determine the number of rows of a CSV in R? (19 May 2016)
Notes on "Peopleware" (11 May 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #48 (10 May 2016)
co-authored Charity Guide: Iron and Folic Acid Fortification (9 May 2016)
Peter’s 2015 Q3 - 2016 Q1 Personal Review (9 May 2016)
Notes on "High Output Management" (7 May 2016)
co-authored Charity Guide: Conditional Cash Transfers (7 May 2016)
R Lecture #3: data.table (5 May 2016)
co-authored Effects of Major Events on EA Activity (29 Apr 2016)
.impact's Pivot to Focus Projects (29 Apr 2016)
co-authored Charity Guide: Poverty Research Organization (27 Apr 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #47 (26 Apr 2016)
Notes on "Making Software" (25 Apr 2016)
co-authored Charity Guide: SMS Reminders for Immunizations (25 Apr 2016)
co-authored Charity Guide: Tobacco Taxation (19 Apr 2016)
Effective Altruism Project Ideas (14 Apr 2016)
R Lecture #2: Tibble (14 Apr 2016)
Principles I Learned From Reading "Pragmatic Programmer" (12 Apr 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #46 (11 Apr 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #45 (3 Apr 2016)
co-authored Whats So Great About Increasing IQ? (31 Mar 2016)
co-authored Six Examples of Measuring Incomplete Metrics ...and How to Fix Them (26 Mar 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #44 (24 Mar 2016)
An Intro to Non-standard Evaluation in R (12 Mar 2016)
Peter Hurford, Data Scientist: Getting Hired as a Self-Taught Programmer (5 Mar 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #43 (29 Feb 2016)
The Smart Party Platform (28 Feb 2016)
Is EA growing? A concrete study idea to find out (and a $100 offer for implementation) (21 Feb 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #42 (14 Feb 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #41 (28 Jan 2016)
How to Kill a Deep Work Block (26 Jan 2016)
Do EAs underestimate opportunities to create many small benefits? (24 Jan 2016)
Notes and Reflections on "Deep Work" by Cal Newport (24 Jan 2016)
Battle Chess: Chess with Explosions (15 Jan 2016)
Links When I Feel Like It #40 (14 Jan 2016)
How do you write readable code?: 13 Principles (23 Dec 2015)
Can you Complete This By…: Business Abbreviations for the End of Things (21 Dec 2015)
Links When I Feel Like It #39 (20 Dec 2015)
Links When I Feel Like It #38 (15 Dec 2015)
Links When I Feel Like It #37 (3 Dec 2015)
Links When I Feel Like It #36 (28 Nov 2015)
Links When I Feel Like It #35 (22 Oct 2015)
How does code get parallelized? (17 Oct 2015)
What is on an open source project website?: Five case studies (4 Oct 2015)
EA risks falling into a "meta trap". But we can avoid it. (25 Aug 2015)
Peter Hurford thinks that a large proportion of people should earn to give long term (17 Aug 2015)
Moral Economics in Practice: Musing on Acausal Payments through Donations (12 Aug 2015)
Peter's 2015 Q2 Personal Review (21 Jul 2015)
My Notes on Hadley's "R Packages" (6 Jul 2015)
Links When I Feel Like it #34 (6 Jul 2015)
Quick Tips on Searching for an Apartment (4 Jul 2015)
My Simple Plan for Staying in Touch with People (4 Jul 2015)
One Year Out: How I Became a Better Programmer (4 Jul 2015)
Quick Anecdotes on Working in a Foundation From Someone I Know Who Works in a Foundation (3 Jul 2015)
Introduction to Functional Programming (in R) (3 Jul 2015)
Interview with Peter Hurford: Programmer, Writer, Philanthropist (25 Jun 2015)
The Supreme Court Described as Machine Learning (29 Jun 2015)
Notes on "Study Less, Study Smart" by Marty Lobdell (18 Jun 2015)
An R Function that Only Works When You Try to Debug it (10 Jun 2015)
My Productivity Curriculum (19 May 2015)
Peter's 2015 Q1 Personal Review (25 Apr 2015)
List of My Personal Reviews (8 Apr 2015)
Should I Fly or Take the Megabus? (30 Mar 2015)
Productivity Dojo #5: Eliminate Distractions (27 Mar 2015)
Productivity Dojo #4: Zombie Goals and Knowing What Completion Looks Like (27 March 2015)
Productity Dojo #3: Get Some Goals and Actually Focus (27 Mar 2015)
Productivity Dojo #2: Do More By Doing Less (27 Mar 2015)
Productivity Dojo #1: Beware Shark Productivity (27 Mr 2015)
We might be getting a lot of new EAs. What are we going to do when they arrive? (25 Mar 2015)
The 2014 Survey of Effective Altruists: Results and Analysis (17 Mar 2015)
Monthly Check-in: Mar 2015 (5 Mar 2015)
Rails Interview Questions (11 Feb 2015)
11 Questions to Ask About Your Business Idea (7 Feb 2015)
Monthly Check-in: Feb 2015 (2 Feb 2015)
R Interview Questions (30 Jan 2015)
EA is the Best Choice I've Ever Made (30 Jan 2015)
Links When I Feel Like It #33 (21 Jan 2015)
My Life as a Data Scientist (Because Some People Asked) (15 Jan 2015)
Do We Need to Disguise Veg Surveys? (4 Jan 2015)
Methodology for Studying the Influence of Facebook Ads on Meat Reduction (4 Jan 2015)
Sunday Links #32 (4 Jan 2015)
My 2015 Exercise Plan I Might Be Able to Stick To (3 Jan 2015)
Peter's Personal Review for Oct-Dec 2014 (3 Jan 2015)
EAs on RSS and Reddit! (31 Dec 2014)
List of Introductory EA Presentations (28 Dec 2014)
Pomodoro for Programmers (24 Dec 2014)
How I Raised $5010.32 for AMF and How You Can Too! (23 Dec 2014)
Sunday Links #31 (21 Dec 2014)
How to Read (20 Dec 2014)
Anecdotal Advice: The Authoritative Index (20 Dec 2014)
Rspresso: Coffeescript for R (15 Dec 2014)
Ruby Interview Questions (No Rails, for a Prospective Junior Developer / Intern) (12 Dec 2014)
Anecdotal Ideas on Improving Sleep Quality (10 Dec 2014)
I'm Donating My Birthday to Charity (3 Dec 2014)
You Have a Set Amount of Weirdness Points. Spend Them Wisely. (27 Nov 2014)
Seven Quick Principles I Wish I Remembered to Follow More Often (11 Nov 2014)
Sunday Links #30 (9 Nov 2014)
Productivity 101 for Beginners (5 Nov 2014)
Why I'm Skeptical of Unifying Morality and Rationality (4 Nov 2014)
Sock Statistics - A Sampling Approach to Karl Broman’s Socks (2 Nov 2014)
Sunday Links #29 (2 Nov 2014)
A Database of Time Zone by Zip Code (for Applications) (29 Oct 2014)
How to Use XAMPP to Test PHP on Your Own Computer (29 Oct 2014)
Update on Peter's Career Story (14 Oct 2014)
Productivity for Programmers: Gmail Shortcuts (11 Oct 2014)
Peter's Personal Review for July-Sep 2014 (9 Oct 2014)
Sunday Links #28 (5 Oct 2014)
Unsolicited Soymilk Reviews (21 Sep 2014)
Welcome to the New "Not Quite a Blog" (16 Sep 2014)
A Brief Summary of "How to Raise Money Without Killing a Kitten" (16 Sep 2014)
What Small Things Can an EA Do? (14 Sep 2014)
Where is the Money in Development Spending? (4 Sep 2014)
Interview with Brian Tomasik (7 Aug 2014)
Where Do The Extremely Poor Work? (20 Jul 2014)
What Do the Extremely Poor Buy? (17 Jul 2014)
The Making of the Personal Review: Behind the Scenes (16 Jul 2014)
Interesting Mathematical Relationship (14 Jul 2014)
Personal Review for May-June 2014 (13 Jul 2014)
How Do the Extremely Poor Live? (12 Jun 2014)
A Better Way to Learn Programming? Notes on The Odin Project (10 Jul 2014)
On the Rationality of Luck Wishing (4 Jul 2014)
A Re-Analysis of ACE's Leaflet Study (4 Jun 2014)
To Make A Decision, Imagine You're Someone Else (3 Jun 2014)
Attendance is Not Binary (2 Jun 2014)
Star Trek Deep Space Nine Abridged: Dominion War Edition Wathcing List (1 Jun 2014)
How Much Suffering is in the Standard American Diet? (31 May 2014)
Why Time Travel is Also Space Travel (26 May 2014)
Why Are Politicans Crazy? Because it Works (25 May 2014)
Sunday Links #27 (25 May 2014)
Not All Arguments are Nuanced (24 May 2014)
Free as in Prepaid (21 May 2014)
Personal Review for March - May 2014 (20 May 2014)
The Failures of Foreign Aid (And Some Potential Fixes), Pt. 2 (20 May 2014)
Mental Magic: A Fun, Inexpensive Way to Play Magic (13 May 2014)
Conversation with Michael Bitton about EA Marketing (10 May 2014)
Interview with Boris Yakubchik (8 May 2014)
Me in the Press (5 May 2014)
The List of Games I Must Play Before Graduating from Denison’s Gaming Guild (5 May 2014)
Effective Altruism at TEDxDenisonU (22 Apr 2014)
Career Advice for Phyllis Schmidt: Choosing Between Masters, Software Engineering, and EA Direct Work (22 Apr 2014)
Sunday Links #26 (20 Apr 2014)
How Much Does Money Matter in Politics? (20 Apr 2014)
Pigovian Taxation and Confiscatory Taxation: Boring Notes on Economics (20 Apr 2014)
So You Wanna Learn How to Code? Going from Zero to Programmer Hero in One Guide, for Great Justice. (18 Apr 2014)
The Failures of Foreign Aid (And Some Potential Fixes), Pt. 1 (Apr 11 2014)
The Psychology of Platonic Forms (8 Apr 2014)
Sunday Links #25 (7 Apr 2014)
Reflections on Oxford, England (5 Apr 2014)
My Favorite Productivity Apps (5 Apr 2014)
Brief Notes on Careers in Foundations (2 Apr 2014)
What has .impact done so far? (31 Mar 2014)
Personal Review for December 2013 - February 2014 (26 Mar 2014)
Interview with Ryan Carey (24 Mar 2014)
Benjamin Franklin, Liberty, and Security (23 Mar 2014)
My Day at Denison (6 Mar 2014) (22 Mar 2014)
Behold! The New Site! (14 Mar 2014)
Sunday Links #24 (10 Mar 2014)
Effective Altruism is Not a Competition (originally 1 Mar 2014, reposted)
Career Advice for Jacy, Choosing Between Ph.D. Programs (21 Feb 2014)
Could EA Community Building be an Easy and Underfunded Win? (9 Feb 2014)
Alternative Canon I: Social Ramifications of Transporters (9 Feb 2014)
What Have I Been Doing? IV (7 Feb 2014)
Today in Survey Design: Are You Serious? (4 Feb 2014)
What is .impact up to? (3 Feb 2014)
No-one was Injured (3 Feb 2014)
I've Started a Personal Blog (31 Jan 2014)
It's Ok to Be Different (29 Jan 2014)
co-authored Any Questions? (27 January 2014)
Sunday Links #23 (16 Jan 2014)
Giving Games and Giving What We Can: An Interview with Jon Behar
My Case Study: I (Mostly) Finished Choosing Between Careers (13 Jan 2014)
Case study: choosing between working at Effective Altruist organisations, Earning to Give and Graduate school (9 Jan 2014)
EverydayUtilitarian's Top Ten in 2013 (7 Jan 2014)
Sunday Links #22 (5 Jan 2014)
Introducing .impact (5 Jan 2014)
A Year of Mostly New Years Resolutions (3 Jan 2014)
Sunday Links #21 (1 Jan 2014)
Why Utilitarianism Says Donald Trump is a Terrorist (29 Dec 2013)
GiveDirectly: The Best Gift You Can Make This Christmas (25 Dec 2013)
When Do I Expect Good Giving Opportunities to Improve? (25 Dec 2013)
Where I'm Giving and Why (24 Dec 2013)
New Year's Resolutions: December Edition (23 Dec 2013)
What Have I Been Doing? III (21 Dec 2013)
Sunday Links #20 (8 Dec 2013)
What I'd Like For My Birthday and Christmas (4 Dec 2013)
Good Judgment Project, Season Three (2 Dec 2013)
Six-Month Review II: June-Nov 2013 (30 Nov 2013)
Utilitarianism Debate Between Peter Hurford and Alonzo Fyfe (19 Nov 2013)
What Have I Been Doing? II (28 Nov 2013)
New Year's Resolutions: Nov Edition (4 Nov 2013)
Sunday Links #19 (3 Nov 2013)
Interview with Jeremy Lauer (25 Oct 2013)
A Meta-Ethics FAQ (22 Oct 2013)
Sunday Links #18 (20 Oct 2013)
What Does Utilitarianism Look Like in Practice? (18 Oct 2013)
Sunday Links #17: Altruistic Careers Advice Edition (13 Oct 2013)
My Careers Conversation with Holden Karnofsky (11 Oct 2013)
Interview with the Founder of Giving Games (11 Oct 2013)
New Years Resolutions: Octember Edition (9 Oct 2013)
What Have I Been Doing? (7 Oct 2013)
My Conversation With Satvik Beri (4 Oct 2013)
Doing Important Research on Amazon's Mechanical Turk? (25 Sep 2013)
Comparing Across My Five Career Categories (22 Sep 2013)
I Now Have Approximately Five Career Categories (18 Sep 2013)
Should We Tell People That Giving Makes Them Happier?(4 Sep 2013)
Sunday Links #16 (2 Sep 2013)
Pitching "Effective Altruism"? (30 Aug 2013)
How I Am Productive (27 Aug 2013)
Sunday Links #15 (25 Aug 2013)
Effective Altruist Job Board? (18 Aug 2013)
Sunday Links #14 (18 Aug 2013)
Where I've Changed My Mind on My Approach to Speculative Causes (16 Aug 2013)
Practical Limits to Giving Now and The Haste Consideration (14 Aug 2013)
Just How Effective Does Vegetarian Advocacy Need to Be? (12 Aug 2013)
Sunday Links #13 (11 Aug 2013)
The Challenges of "Great People" as a Model for Social Change (9 Aug 2013)
What Would it Take to "Prove" a Speculative Cause? (7 Aug 2013)
New Years Resolutions: August Edition (7 Aug 2013)
An Evaluation of the "Copenhagen Consensus Centre" (5 Aug 2013)
Sunday Links #12 (4 Aug 2013)
How Does MIRI Know it Has a Medium Probability of Success? (1 Aug 2013)
Don't Call Us a Charitable-Industrial Complex (1 Aug 2013)
In Non-Profits, Who Is The Customer? (31 Jul 2013)
Why I'm Skeptical About Unproven Causes (And You Should Be Too) (29 Jul 2013)
Sunday Links #11 (28 Jul 2013)
Why Eat Less Meat? (23 July 2013)
Introducing Effective Fundraising, a New EA Org (21 Jul @013)
Sunday Links #10 (21 Jul 2013)
The Worst Way of Picking the Worst Charities (19 Jul 2013)
Interview with Ruairí Donnelly (17 Jul 2013)
For Happiness, Keep a Gratitude Journal (15 Jul 2013)
Sunday Links #9 (14 Jul 2013)
What Is Morality? (10 Jul 2013)
Sunday Links #8: Immigration (7 Jul 2013)
New Year's Resolutions: July Edition (1 Jul 2013)
Sunday Links #7 (30 Jun 2013)
Leaping Doesn't Mean You Can't Look First (28 Jun 2013)
You're Not Entitled to Your Policy Opinions (26 Jun 2013)
Why It's Hard to Explain Things: Inferential Distance (24 Jun 2013)
Sunday Links #6 (23 Jun 2013)
College Student Philanthropy and Funding Millenium Villages (23 June 2013)
Initial Thoughts on Personally Finding a High-Impact Career (19 June 2013)
Giving Now Currently Seems To Beat Giving Later (19 June 2013)
My Strategic Plan (18 June 2013)
Why I Blog (17 June 2013)
Sunday Links #5 (16 June 2013)
For Impact, The Future Matters More (14 June 2013)
Effective Altruism Through Advertising Vegetarianism? (12 June 2013)
Sunday Links #4: Earning to Give (9 June 2013)
Resolutions Update: June Edition (5 June 2013)
Sunday Links #3: Effective Altruism (26 May 2013)
Where You Give is Literally A Matter of Life and Death (20 May 2013)
Sunday Links #2 (19 May 2013)
To Inspire People to Give, Be Public About Your Giving (17 May 2013)
How to Build a Community (15 May 2013)
Sunday Links #1 (13 May 2013)
Those Are Not Mountains (8 May 2013)
Resolutions Update: May Edition (6 May 2013)
Resolutions Update: April Edition (3 Apr 2013)
Resolutions Update: March Edition (11 Mar 2013)
Questions for Moral Realists (13 Feb 2013)
Resolutions Update: February Edition (5 Feb 2013)
New Years Resolutions (3 Jan 2013)
Different Hearts for Different Heads: How Personality Moderates the Emotional Impact of Political Advertisement (15 Dec 2012)
Foreign Policy and Free Will: Presidential Foreign Policy Preferences as a Determining Factor of Foreign Policy (15 Dec 2012)
New Answers to New Threats: Foreign Aid Expansion as a Response to September 11 (3 Dec 2012)
The Community That Stays Together, Gives Together (27 Nov 2012)
In Giving, It Pays to Precommit (23 Oct 2012)
The Employer of Last Resort: A Policy to Ensure Full Employment and Price Stability (28 Aug 2012)
Why Don't People Help Others More? (13 Aug 2012)
Inflating Our Way to Employment and Investment Confidence (17 Jun 2012)
The Twelve Reasons I Don't Believe in the Supernatural (15 Jul 2012, reposted)
You Can't Make Everyone Happy All The Time: Why Partisans Wanting Different Legislative Outcomes Might Mean Dissaproval is Here to Stay (20 Apr 2012)
Multi-Vector Plate Cipher (4 Mar 2012)
Opinons, Perceptions, and Networks: Opinion Types and Their Origins (29 Jan 2012)
The Media Creates Confidence: The Factors that Drive Confidence to State Opinions and How They Affect Democracy (5 Aug 2011)
ADFGVX + Recombine Cipher (24 Apr 2011)
The 36 Notecard Cipher (18 Apr 2011)
Random Album Covers, 2011 Throwback Edition (14 Jan 2011, reposted)
Is Mew a Ditto? (originally 12 Jan 2011, reposted)
Great Homophonic Sieve Cipher (15 Aug 2010)
Vigenere Variants as Straddling Checkerboard Variants (10 Aug 2010)
The Autokeyed Bifid Cipher (7 Sep 2010)
The Double Nicodemus (16 Aug 2010)
The Superbifid Cipher (5 Aug 2010)
Visualizing the Monty Hall Problem (originally 17 Apr 2009, reposted)

PETER HURFORD

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